India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 12?
38°C or below 100.0%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$29,431 Обс.
$29,431 Обс.
May 12, 2026
38°C or below
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
38°C or below 100.0%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$29,431 Обс.
$29,431 Обс.
May 12, 2026
38°C or below
$4,566 Обс.
Yes
39°C
$6,404 Обс.
No
40°C
$4,192 Обс.
No
41°C
$1,622 Обс.
No
42°C
$1,434 Обс.
No
43°C
$2,615 Обс.
No
44°C
$1,460 Обс.
No
45°C
$1,246 Обс.
No
46°C
$1,459 Обс.
No
47°C
$1,589 Обс.
No
48°C or higher
$2,844 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,431Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$29,431Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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