Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 30–31°C in Lucknow on September 24, reflecting expectations of typical late-monsoon conditions with substantial cloud cover and scattered rainfall moderating daytime maxima. The India Meteorological Department’s recent model guidance highlights a lingering monsoon trough across northern India, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky periods that suppress heat buildup compared with pre-monsoon baselines. Short-range ensemble forecasts show modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing and intensity of any embedded low-pressure systems or western-disturbance influences. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical September averages near 32°C, pricing in the current wetter pattern while noting that any rapid monsoon withdrawal or clearer skies could shift outcomes higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 24?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 24?
29°C 40%
27°C 39%
28°C 38%
30°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
39%
28°C
38%
29°C
40%
30°C
19%
31°C
14%
32°C
10%
33°C
9%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
27°C 39%
28°C 38%
30°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
26°C
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
39%
28°C
$0 Обс.
38%
29°C
$0 Обс.
40%
30°C
$10 Обс.
19%
31°C
$0 Обс.
14%
32°C
$0 Обс.
10%
33°C
$0 Обс.
9%
34°C
$0 Обс.
7%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 30–31°C in Lucknow on September 24, reflecting expectations of typical late-monsoon conditions with substantial cloud cover and scattered rainfall moderating daytime maxima. The India Meteorological Department’s recent model guidance highlights a lingering monsoon trough across northern India, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky periods that suppress heat buildup compared with pre-monsoon baselines. Short-range ensemble forecasts show modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing and intensity of any embedded low-pressure systems or western-disturbance influences. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical September averages near 32°C, pricing in the current wetter pattern while noting that any rapid monsoon withdrawal or clearer skies could shift outcomes higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 30–31°C in Lucknow on September 24, reflecting expectations of typical late-monsoon conditions with substantial cloud cover and scattered rainfall moderating daytime maxima. The India Meteorological Department’s recent model guidance highlights a lingering monsoon trough across northern India, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky periods that suppress heat buildup compared with pre-monsoon baselines. Short-range ensemble forecasts show modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing and intensity of any embedded low-pressure systems or western-disturbance influences. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical September averages near 32°C, pricing in the current wetter pattern while noting that any rapid monsoon withdrawal or clearer skies could shift outcomes higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 30–31°C in Lucknow on September 24, reflecting expectations of typical late-monsoon conditions with substantial cloud cover and scattered rainfall moderating daytime maxima. The India Meteorological Department’s recent model guidance highlights a lingering monsoon trough across northern India, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky periods that suppress heat buildup compared with pre-monsoon baselines. Short-range ensemble forecasts show modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing and intensity of any embedded low-pressure systems or western-disturbance influences. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical September averages near 32°C, pricing in the current wetter pattern while noting that any rapid monsoon withdrawal or clearer skies could shift outcomes higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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