Current AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on June 19 under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability above 80%. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, while climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs near 30–32°C) show this event running several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around peak values, plus slight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeps 35°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance expected overnight from AEMET and ECMWF runs will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
36°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$98,361 Обс.
$98,361 Обс.
Jun 19, 2026
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$98,361 Обс.
$98,361 Обс.
Jun 19, 2026
33°C or below
$3,557 Обс.
No
34°C
$11,151 Обс.
No
35°C
$17,412 Обс.
No
36°C
$23,954 Обс.
Yes
37°C
$19,890 Обс.
No
38°C
$16,121 Обс.
No
39°C
$4,489 Обс.
No
40°C
$1,180 Обс.
No
41°C
$150 Обс.
No
42°C
$150 Обс.
No
43°C or higher
$306 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on June 19 under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability above 80%. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, while climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs near 30–32°C) show this event running several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around peak values, plus slight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeps 35°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance expected overnight from AEMET and ECMWF runs will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$98,361Дата завершення
Jun 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on June 19 under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability above 80%. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, while climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs near 30–32°C) show this event running several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around peak values, plus slight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeps 35°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance expected overnight from AEMET and ECMWF runs will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$98,361Дата завершення
Jun 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on June 19 under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability above 80%. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, while climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs near 30–32°C) show this event running several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around peak values, plus slight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeps 35°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance expected overnight from AEMET and ECMWF runs will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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