PAGASA forecasts a high temperature of 35°C for Port Area, Manila—the likely resolution station—on May 4 under clear skies and easterlies bringing warm, dry air, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations show Metro Manila stations like nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport peaking at 35.7°C, while Port Area aligns below 36°C amid stable conditions typical of May's dry hot season, where averages hover around 33–34°C but routinely hit 35°C during heat episodes. No low-pressure areas or thunderstorms disrupt patterns, per latest advisories. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst from prolonged sunshine pushing past 35.9°C, though 0% rain chance and cooling evening trends make it unlikely; await PAGASA's end-of-day summary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 4?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,772 Обс.
$35,772 Обс.
May 4, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,772 Обс.
$35,772 Обс.
May 4, 2026
29°C or below
$469 Обс.
No
30°C
$451 Обс.
No
31°C
$869 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,034 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,261 Обс.
No
34°C
$6,349 Обс.
No
35°C
$6,606 Обс.
Yes
36°C
$6,324 Обс.
No
37°C
$3,390 Обс.
No
38°C
$2,446 Обс.
No
39°C or higher
$1,572 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA forecasts a high temperature of 35°C for Port Area, Manila—the likely resolution station—on May 4 under clear skies and easterlies bringing warm, dry air, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations show Metro Manila stations like nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport peaking at 35.7°C, while Port Area aligns below 36°C amid stable conditions typical of May's dry hot season, where averages hover around 33–34°C but routinely hit 35°C during heat episodes. No low-pressure areas or thunderstorms disrupt patterns, per latest advisories. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst from prolonged sunshine pushing past 35.9°C, though 0% rain chance and cooling evening trends make it unlikely; await PAGASA's end-of-day summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,772Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA forecasts a high temperature of 35°C for Port Area, Manila—the likely resolution station—on May 4 under clear skies and easterlies bringing warm, dry air, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations show Metro Manila stations like nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport peaking at 35.7°C, while Port Area aligns below 36°C amid stable conditions typical of May's dry hot season, where averages hover around 33–34°C but routinely hit 35°C during heat episodes. No low-pressure areas or thunderstorms disrupt patterns, per latest advisories. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst from prolonged sunshine pushing past 35.9°C, though 0% rain chance and cooling evening trends make it unlikely; await PAGASA's end-of-day summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$35,772Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
PAGASA forecasts a high temperature of 35°C for Port Area, Manila—the likely resolution station—on May 4 under clear skies and easterlies bringing warm, dry air, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations show Metro Manila stations like nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport peaking at 35.7°C, while Port Area aligns below 36°C amid stable conditions typical of May's dry hot season, where averages hover around 33–34°C but routinely hit 35°C during heat episodes. No low-pressure areas or thunderstorms disrupt patterns, per latest advisories. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst from prolonged sunshine pushing past 35.9°C, though 0% rain chance and cooling evening trends make it unlikely; await PAGASA's end-of-day summary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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