Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on July 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 7?
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 23%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 7, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
23%
30°C
33%
31°C
28%
32°C
11%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 23%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 7, 2026
25°C or below
$523 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$128 Обс.
1%
27°C
$305 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$720 Обс.
9%
29°C
$538 Обс.
23%
30°C
$365 Обс.
33%
31°C
$389 Обс.
28%
32°C
$421 Обс.
11%
33°C
$277 Обс.
1%
34°C
$359 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$71 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,051Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,051Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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