Recent forecasts from agencies like the BBC indicate a high near 35–36°C for Milan on August 4 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (43.5%) through 36°C (25%). Persistent high pressure supports subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, while typical August climatology—average highs near 30–32°C—provides context for the modest upward shift. Model agreement remains steady with no major heatwave signals or synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 37°C or higher below 5%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds based on observed maximum temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 4?
34°C or below 34%
36°C 28%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
34°C or below
34%
35°C
28%
36°C
28%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 34%
36°C 28%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
34°C or below
$307 Обс.
34%
35°C
$233 Обс.
28%
36°C
$317 Обс.
28%
37°C
$179 Обс.
7%
38°C
$267 Обс.
3%
39°C
$166 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$103 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$156 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$146 Обс.
<1%
43°C
$146 Обс.
<1%
44°C or higher
$146 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the BBC indicate a high near 35–36°C for Milan on August 4 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (43.5%) through 36°C (25%). Persistent high pressure supports subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, while typical August climatology—average highs near 30–32°C—provides context for the modest upward shift. Model agreement remains steady with no major heatwave signals or synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 37°C or higher below 5%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds based on observed maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,163Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the BBC indicate a high near 35–36°C for Milan on August 4 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (43.5%) through 36°C (25%). Persistent high pressure supports subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, while typical August climatology—average highs near 30–32°C—provides context for the modest upward shift. Model agreement remains steady with no major heatwave signals or synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 37°C or higher below 5%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds based on observed maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,163Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the BBC indicate a high near 35–36°C for Milan on August 4 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (43.5%) through 36°C (25%). Persistent high pressure supports subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, while typical August climatology—average highs near 30–32°C—provides context for the modest upward shift. Model agreement remains steady with no major heatwave signals or synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 37°C or higher below 5%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds based on observed maximum temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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