Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 6?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$94,149 Обс.
$94,149 Обс.
May 6, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$94,149 Обс.
$94,149 Обс.
May 6, 2026
10°C or below
$362 Обс.
No
11°C
$270 Обс.
No
12°C
$770 Обс.
No
13°C
$1,750 Обс.
No
14°C
$3,429 Обс.
No
15°C
$9,265 Обс.
No
16°C
$17,600 Обс.
No
17°C
$16,136 Обс.
Yes
18°C
$13,120 Обс.
No
19°C
$13,991 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$17,457 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$94,149Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$94,149Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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