Recent short-range model runs from sources including GFS and European centers show Moscow under persistent northwest flow and extensive cloud cover on September 8, limiting surface heating and pointing to a daytime maximum near 14 °C. This aligns with Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance of 13–18 °C amid mostly overcast skies and light winds that reduce mixing and insolation. Ensemble spreads create the tight clustering around 13–15 °C outcomes, as modest differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer depth can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 16 °C provide context, but the current cool anomaly and stable high pressure favor the lower end of the distribution, with new 12z model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
14°C 32%
13°C 22%
15°C 21%
12°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
4%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
18%
13°C
22%
14°C
32%
15°C
21%
16°C
7%
17°C or higher
6%
14°C 32%
13°C 22%
15°C 21%
12°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
$115 Обс.
4%
8°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$63 Обс.
3%
11°C
$0 Обс.
7%
12°C
$10 Обс.
18%
13°C
$0 Обс.
22%
14°C
$31 Обс.
32%
15°C
$0 Обс.
21%
16°C
$2 Обс.
7%
17°C or higher
$31 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs from sources including GFS and European centers show Moscow under persistent northwest flow and extensive cloud cover on September 8, limiting surface heating and pointing to a daytime maximum near 14 °C. This aligns with Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance of 13–18 °C amid mostly overcast skies and light winds that reduce mixing and insolation. Ensemble spreads create the tight clustering around 13–15 °C outcomes, as modest differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer depth can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 16 °C provide context, but the current cool anomaly and stable high pressure favor the lower end of the distribution, with new 12z model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$482Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs from sources including GFS and European centers show Moscow under persistent northwest flow and extensive cloud cover on September 8, limiting surface heating and pointing to a daytime maximum near 14 °C. This aligns with Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance of 13–18 °C amid mostly overcast skies and light winds that reduce mixing and insolation. Ensemble spreads create the tight clustering around 13–15 °C outcomes, as modest differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer depth can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 16 °C provide context, but the current cool anomaly and stable high pressure favor the lower end of the distribution, with new 12z model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$482Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs from sources including GFS and European centers show Moscow under persistent northwest flow and extensive cloud cover on September 8, limiting surface heating and pointing to a daytime maximum near 14 °C. This aligns with Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance of 13–18 °C amid mostly overcast skies and light winds that reduce mixing and insolation. Ensemble spreads create the tight clustering around 13–15 °C outcomes, as modest differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer depth can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 16 °C provide context, but the current cool anomaly and stable high pressure favor the lower end of the distribution, with new 12z model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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