Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 29?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 Обс.
$202,558 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 Обс.
$202,558 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
53°F or below
$11,704 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$19,165 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$11,268 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$54,874 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$33,495 Обс.
Yes
62-63°F
$19,029 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$21,591 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$9,039 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$6,904 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$6,730 Обс.
No
72°F or higher
$8,758 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$202,558Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$202,558Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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