**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% on a 74–75°F high at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for June 12, 2026, because official observations and post-event verification align squarely with that narrow band.** Ensemble model guidance issued in the days prior consistently projected a peak near 73°F under stable northwest flow, with marine air from Puget Sound limiting further warming despite a broader warmer-than-average June pattern. Mid-June climatology at KSEA centers on highs of 70–74°F, so the observed value sits slightly above normal yet within expected variability for the season. The market’s near-certainty reflects skin-in-the-game validation of National Weather Service and NOAA station data once the daily maximum was recorded. Only an unprecedented revision to the official KSEA reading—such as a sensor anomaly or reanalysis correction—could realistically shift the outcome outside 74–75°F at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on June 12?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 12?
74-75°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$69,431 Обс.
$69,431 Обс.
Jun 12, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$69,431 Обс.
$69,431 Обс.
Jun 12, 2026
61°F or below
$1,192 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$1,245 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$2,332 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$1,645 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$3,427 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$6,159 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$7,261 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$9,743 Обс.
Yes
76-77°F
$9,571 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$9,426 Обс.
No
80°F or higher
$17,430 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% on a 74–75°F high at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for June 12, 2026, because official observations and post-event verification align squarely with that narrow band.** Ensemble model guidance issued in the days prior consistently projected a peak near 73°F under stable northwest flow, with marine air from Puget Sound limiting further warming despite a broader warmer-than-average June pattern. Mid-June climatology at KSEA centers on highs of 70–74°F, so the observed value sits slightly above normal yet within expected variability for the season.
The market’s near-certainty reflects skin-in-the-game validation of National Weather Service and NOAA station data once the daily maximum was recorded. Only an unprecedented revision to the official KSEA reading—such as a sensor anomaly or reanalysis correction—could realistically shift the outcome outside 74–75°F at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$69,431Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% on a 74–75°F high at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for June 12, 2026, because official observations and post-event verification align squarely with that narrow band.** Ensemble model guidance issued in the days prior consistently projected a peak near 73°F under stable northwest flow, with marine air from Puget Sound limiting further warming despite a broader warmer-than-average June pattern. Mid-June climatology at KSEA centers on highs of 70–74°F, so the observed value sits slightly above normal yet within expected variability for the season.
The market’s near-certainty reflects skin-in-the-game validation of National Weather Service and NOAA station data once the daily maximum was recorded. Only an unprecedented revision to the official KSEA reading—such as a sensor anomaly or reanalysis correction—could realistically shift the outcome outside 74–75°F at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$69,431Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% on a 74–75°F high at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for June 12, 2026, because official observations and post-event verification align squarely with that narrow band.** Ensemble model guidance issued in the days prior consistently projected a peak near 73°F under stable northwest flow, with marine air from Puget Sound limiting further warming despite a broader warmer-than-average June pattern. Mid-June climatology at KSEA centers on highs of 70–74°F, so the observed value sits slightly above normal yet within expected variability for the season. The market’s near-certainty reflects skin-in-the-game validation of National Weather Service and NOAA station data once the daily maximum was recorded. Only an unprecedented revision to the official KSEA reading—such as a sensor anomaly or reanalysis correction—could realistically shift the outcome outside 74–75°F at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання