Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 Обс.
$56,295 Обс.
Jun 22, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 Обс.
$56,295 Обс.
Jun 22, 2026
75°F or below
$923 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$1,650 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$3,939 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$5,630 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$6,836 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$15,880 Обс.
Yes
86-87°F
$9,187 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$7,399 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$2,187 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$2,280 Обс.
No
94°F or higher
$383 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$56,295Дата завершення
Jun 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$56,295Дата завершення
Jun 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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