Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system, combined with high humidity (80-90%) and light easterly winds, suppressed daytime heating despite typical early May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs. Light rain and overcast skies capped solar insolation, aligning with short-range KMA forecasts issued that morning. While data finalization via Wunderground at Incheon International Airport station could theoretically prompt minor revisions—ignored post-resolution per market rules—such discrepancies are rare, solidifying the strong scientific backing for 15°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on May 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 3?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$340,922 Обс.
$340,922 Обс.
May 3, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$340,922 Обс.
$340,922 Обс.
May 3, 2026
9°C or below
$5,832 Обс.
No
10°C
$4,219 Обс.
No
11°C
$4,038 Обс.
No
12°C
$7,141 Обс.
No
13°C
$41,646 Обс.
No
14°C
$75,738 Обс.
No
15°C
$55,864 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$57,592 Обс.
No
17°C
$34,925 Обс.
No
18°C
$24,085 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$29,842 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system, combined with high humidity (80-90%) and light easterly winds, suppressed daytime heating despite typical early May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs. Light rain and overcast skies capped solar insolation, aligning with short-range KMA forecasts issued that morning. While data finalization via Wunderground at Incheon International Airport station could theoretically prompt minor revisions—ignored post-resolution per market rules—such discrepancies are rare, solidifying the strong scientific backing for 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
Обсяг
$340,922Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system, combined with high humidity (80-90%) and light easterly winds, suppressed daytime heating despite typical early May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs. Light rain and overcast skies capped solar insolation, aligning with short-range KMA forecasts issued that morning. While data finalization via Wunderground at Incheon International Airport station could theoretically prompt minor revisions—ignored post-resolution per market rules—such discrepancies are rare, solidifying the strong scientific backing for 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$340,922Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system, combined with high humidity (80-90%) and light easterly winds, suppressed daytime heating despite typical early May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs. Light rain and overcast skies capped solar insolation, aligning with short-range KMA forecasts issued that morning. While data finalization via Wunderground at Incheon International Airport station could theoretically prompt minor revisions—ignored post-resolution per market rules—such discrepancies are rare, solidifying the strong scientific backing for 15°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання