Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 29?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$102,827 Обс.
$102,827 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$102,827 Обс.
$102,827 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
20°C or below
$1,061 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,616 Обс.
No
22°C
$1,409 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,743 Обс.
No
24°C
$2,544 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,834 Обс.
No
26°C
$6,099 Обс.
No
27°C
$34,056 Обс.
Yes
28°C
$20,360 Обс.
No
29°C
$22,611 Обс.
No
30°C or higher
$8,493 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$102,827Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$102,827Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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