Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 30?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,193 Обс.
$48,193 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,193 Обс.
$48,193 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
15°C or below
$413 Обс.
No
16°C
$532 Обс.
No
17°C
$412 Обс.
No
18°C
$688 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,365 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,067 Обс.
No
21°C
$750 Обс.
No
22°C
$1,858 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,639 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,867 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$34,601 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$48,193Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$48,193Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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