Latest numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles point to a highest temperature in Warsaw of 25–26°C on August 7, reflecting a transitional high-pressure ridge with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but show sensitivity to small timing differences in an approaching frontal boundary and diurnal heating rates, which explain the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current observational trends and soil moisture conditions support modest daytime warming without extreme heat advection. Updated model runs and satellite-derived boundary-layer data expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as resolution criteria approach.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
27°C 16%
24°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
35%
26°C
34%
27°C
16%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
27°C 16%
24°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$20 Обс.
4%
23°C
$23 Обс.
5%
24°C
$87 Обс.
14%
25°C
$21 Обс.
35%
26°C
$75 Обс.
34%
27°C
$156 Обс.
16%
28°C
$12 Обс.
3%
29°C
$30 Обс.
2%
30°C
$22 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$65 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$369 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles point to a highest temperature in Warsaw of 25–26°C on August 7, reflecting a transitional high-pressure ridge with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but show sensitivity to small timing differences in an approaching frontal boundary and diurnal heating rates, which explain the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current observational trends and soil moisture conditions support modest daytime warming without extreme heat advection. Updated model runs and satellite-derived boundary-layer data expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as resolution criteria approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$880Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles point to a highest temperature in Warsaw of 25–26°C on August 7, reflecting a transitional high-pressure ridge with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but show sensitivity to small timing differences in an approaching frontal boundary and diurnal heating rates, which explain the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current observational trends and soil moisture conditions support modest daytime warming without extreme heat advection. Updated model runs and satellite-derived boundary-layer data expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as resolution criteria approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$880Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles point to a highest temperature in Warsaw of 25–26°C on August 7, reflecting a transitional high-pressure ridge with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but show sensitivity to small timing differences in an approaching frontal boundary and diurnal heating rates, which explain the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current observational trends and soil moisture conditions support modest daytime warming without extreme heat advection. Updated model runs and satellite-derived boundary-layer data expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as resolution criteria approach.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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