Ensemble forecast models from European and global centers currently indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on August 6 near 32–34°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, southerly advection of warm continental air, and strong daytime insolation under mostly clear skies. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective cloud development, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2°C from the maximum. Historical August climatology shows rare exceedances above 35°C in Warsaw, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 32–34°C band where resolution hinges on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
28%
33°C
32%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$334 Обс.
2%
30°C
$278 Обс.
3%
31°C
$236 Обс.
10%
32°C
$331 Обс.
28%
33°C
$3,014 Обс.
32%
34°C
$434 Обс.
18%
35°C
$561 Обс.
7%
36°C
$30 Обс.
1%
37°C
$111 Обс.
1%
38°C
$179 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$300 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models from European and global centers currently indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on August 6 near 32–34°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, southerly advection of warm continental air, and strong daytime insolation under mostly clear skies. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective cloud development, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2°C from the maximum. Historical August climatology shows rare exceedances above 35°C in Warsaw, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 32–34°C band where resolution hinges on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,806Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models from European and global centers currently indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on August 6 near 32–34°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, southerly advection of warm continental air, and strong daytime insolation under mostly clear skies. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective cloud development, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2°C from the maximum. Historical August climatology shows rare exceedances above 35°C in Warsaw, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 32–34°C band where resolution hinges on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,806Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecast models from European and global centers currently indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on August 6 near 32–34°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, southerly advection of warm continental air, and strong daytime insolation under mostly clear skies. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective cloud development, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2°C from the maximum. Historical August climatology shows rare exceedances above 35°C in Warsaw, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 32–34°C band where resolution hinges on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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