Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a Moscow high near 30°C on August 6, with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C (38%) and 30°C (36.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local pressure gradients can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while recent model runs show limited spread amid stable summer synoptic patterns over European Russia. Official observations from the designated station will resolve the outcome, and traders monitor updated guidance for any late adjustments driven by evolving moisture or wind fields.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 39%
30°C 37%
28°C 13%
31°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
39%
30°C
37%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 37%
28°C 13%
31°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$96 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$537 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$365 Обс.
1%
26°C
$220 Обс.
2%
27°C
$223 Обс.
4%
28°C
$123 Обс.
13%
29°C
$168 Обс.
39%
30°C
$299 Обс.
37%
31°C
$789 Обс.
11%
32°C
$133 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$81 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a Moscow high near 30°C on August 6, with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C (38%) and 30°C (36.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local pressure gradients can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while recent model runs show limited spread amid stable summer synoptic patterns over European Russia. Official observations from the designated station will resolve the outcome, and traders monitor updated guidance for any late adjustments driven by evolving moisture or wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,034Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a Moscow high near 30°C on August 6, with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C (38%) and 30°C (36.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local pressure gradients can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while recent model runs show limited spread amid stable summer synoptic patterns over European Russia. Official observations from the designated station will resolve the outcome, and traders monitor updated guidance for any late adjustments driven by evolving moisture or wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,034Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a Moscow high near 30°C on August 6, with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C (38%) and 30°C (36.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local pressure gradients can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while recent model runs show limited spread amid stable summer synoptic patterns over European Russia. Official observations from the designated station will resolve the outcome, and traders monitor updated guidance for any late adjustments driven by evolving moisture or wind fields.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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