Recent numerical weather models and Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 6 under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical of late summer. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and limited model spread, positioning 32°C as the dominant outcome while allowing modest probability for 33°C if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Low odds for extremes reflect the absence of anomalous ridging or heat advection, with dry conditions and seasonal norms further supporting the current trader weighting. Final model runs and observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
32°C 63%
33°C 24%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
63%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
33°C 24%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
63%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models and Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 6 under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical of late summer. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and limited model spread, positioning 32°C as the dominant outcome while allowing modest probability for 33°C if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Low odds for extremes reflect the absence of anomalous ridging or heat advection, with dry conditions and seasonal norms further supporting the current trader weighting. Final model runs and observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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