**Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7 under stable summer conditions with clear skies, light winds, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation.** This aligns with the historical August baseline of roughly 30–32°C and recent post-heatwave cooling trends, keeping the market heavily weighted toward the 32°C (54.5%) and 31°C (30.5%) outcomes. Minor model variations in humidity and coastal advection explain the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C or 30°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of anomalous warming signals in the latest runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7?
32°C 54%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
31%
32°C
54%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$581 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$40 Обс.
3%
30°C
$109 Обс.
2%
31°C
$67 Обс.
31%
32°C
$987 Обс.
54%
33°C
$81 Обс.
14%
34°C
$56 Обс.
3%
35°C
$73 Обс.
2%
36°C
$47 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$66 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$140 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7 under stable summer conditions with clear skies, light winds, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation.** This aligns with the historical August baseline of roughly 30–32°C and recent post-heatwave cooling trends, keeping the market heavily weighted toward the 32°C (54.5%) and 31°C (30.5%) outcomes. Minor model variations in humidity and coastal advection explain the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C or 30°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of anomalous warming signals in the latest runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,247Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7 under stable summer conditions with clear skies, light winds, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation.** This aligns with the historical August baseline of roughly 30–32°C and recent post-heatwave cooling trends, keeping the market heavily weighted toward the 32°C (54.5%) and 31°C (30.5%) outcomes. Minor model variations in humidity and coastal advection explain the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C or 30°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of anomalous warming signals in the latest runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,247Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7 under stable summer conditions with clear skies, light winds, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation.** This aligns with the historical August baseline of roughly 30–32°C and recent post-heatwave cooling trends, keeping the market heavily weighted toward the 32°C (54.5%) and 31°C (30.5%) outcomes. Minor model variations in humidity and coastal advection explain the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C or 30°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of anomalous warming signals in the latest runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання