Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s August 6 maximum, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average winter day amid an approaching cold front and associated onshore flow. Historical August highs average near 17°C, yet recent South African Weather Service patterns show persistent cooler air masses over the Western Cape, with isolated showers and strengthened winds suppressing daytime warming. Short-range ensemble forecasts emphasize modest variability around 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward these bins and lighter probabilities for 17°C or higher. Resolution will hinge on official observations from Cape Town stations, with any late-model shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover remaining the key variables ahead of the August 6 close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
16°C 49%
15°C 28%
14°C 12%
17°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
12%
15°C
28%
16°C
49%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 49%
15°C 28%
14°C 12%
17°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
11°C or below
$545 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$847 Обс.
1%
13°C
$665 Обс.
4%
14°C
$1,086 Обс.
12%
15°C
$684 Обс.
28%
16°C
$2,262 Обс.
49%
17°C
$1,031 Обс.
8%
18°C
$642 Обс.
2%
19°C
$461 Обс.
1%
20°C
$421 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$787 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s August 6 maximum, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average winter day amid an approaching cold front and associated onshore flow. Historical August highs average near 17°C, yet recent South African Weather Service patterns show persistent cooler air masses over the Western Cape, with isolated showers and strengthened winds suppressing daytime warming. Short-range ensemble forecasts emphasize modest variability around 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward these bins and lighter probabilities for 17°C or higher. Resolution will hinge on official observations from Cape Town stations, with any late-model shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover remaining the key variables ahead of the August 6 close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,432Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s August 6 maximum, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average winter day amid an approaching cold front and associated onshore flow. Historical August highs average near 17°C, yet recent South African Weather Service patterns show persistent cooler air masses over the Western Cape, with isolated showers and strengthened winds suppressing daytime warming. Short-range ensemble forecasts emphasize modest variability around 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward these bins and lighter probabilities for 17°C or higher. Resolution will hinge on official observations from Cape Town stations, with any late-model shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover remaining the key variables ahead of the August 6 close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,432Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s August 6 maximum, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average winter day amid an approaching cold front and associated onshore flow. Historical August highs average near 17°C, yet recent South African Weather Service patterns show persistent cooler air masses over the Western Cape, with isolated showers and strengthened winds suppressing daytime warming. Short-range ensemble forecasts emphasize modest variability around 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward these bins and lighter probabilities for 17°C or higher. Resolution will hinge on official observations from Cape Town stations, with any late-model shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover remaining the key variables ahead of the August 6 close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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