Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, with the July 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year, has tempered but not eliminated concerns about price pressures remaining above the Fed's 2% target. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% in July amid a divided vote, while markets price in the potential for one or more 25-basis-point hikes by year-end, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.7%. This policy stance, combined with steady labor market conditions, has kept longer-term yields elevated relative to earlier 2026 levels. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and any revisions to the Fed's dot plot, which could shift expectations for the rate path through 2026 and influence the 10-year yield's low point before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$225,341 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
3.9%
11%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
2%
3.6%
5%
3.5%
2%
3.0%
2%
2.0%
5%
1.0%
2%
$225,341 Обс.
3.9%
$44,197 Обс.
11%
3.8%
$41,312 Обс.
5%
3.7%
$27,383 Обс.
2%
3.6%
$5,587 Обс.
5%
3.5%
$33,052 Обс.
2%
3.0%
$917 Обс.
2%
2.0%
$564 Обс.
5%
1.0%
$40,570 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, with the July 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year, has tempered but not eliminated concerns about price pressures remaining above the Fed's 2% target. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% in July amid a divided vote, while markets price in the potential for one or more 25-basis-point hikes by year-end, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.7%. This policy stance, combined with steady labor market conditions, has kept longer-term yields elevated relative to earlier 2026 levels. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and any revisions to the Fed's dot plot, which could shift expectations for the rate path through 2026 and influence the 10-year yield's low point before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$225,341Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, with the July 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year, has tempered but not eliminated concerns about price pressures remaining above the Fed's 2% target. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% in July amid a divided vote, while markets price in the potential for one or more 25-basis-point hikes by year-end, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.7%. This policy stance, combined with steady labor market conditions, has kept longer-term yields elevated relative to earlier 2026 levels. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and any revisions to the Fed's dot plot, which could shift expectations for the rate path through 2026 and influence the 10-year yield's low point before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Обсяг
$225,341Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, with the July 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year, has tempered but not eliminated concerns about price pressures remaining above the Fed's 2% target. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% in July amid a divided vote, while markets price in the potential for one or more 25-basis-point hikes by year-end, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.7%. This policy stance, combined with steady labor market conditions, has kept longer-term yields elevated relative to earlier 2026 levels. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and any revisions to the Fed's dot plot, which could shift expectations for the rate path through 2026 and influence the 10-year yield's low point before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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