The recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase enacted in July 2025 via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act set the statutory limit at $41.1 trillion, providing runway well into 2027 according to Bipartisan Policy Center projections that place the next breach between late winter and mid-summer of that year. Treasury extraordinary measures are expected to extend operations several additional months, aligning with the longstanding pattern of congressional action to raise or suspend the limit before any payment disruption. With the next statutory deadline falling inside the market window but under unified Republican control of the White House and Congress, traders assign high probability to routine resolution through appropriations or reconciliation processes rather than outright default.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUS defaults on debt by 2027?
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15,070 Обс.
$15,070 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,070 Обс.
$15,070 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase enacted in July 2025 via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act set the statutory limit at $41.1 trillion, providing runway well into 2027 according to Bipartisan Policy Center projections that place the next breach between late winter and mid-summer of that year. Treasury extraordinary measures are expected to extend operations several additional months, aligning with the longstanding pattern of congressional action to raise or suspend the limit before any payment disruption. With the next statutory deadline falling inside the market window but under unified Republican control of the White House and Congress, traders assign high probability to routine resolution through appropriations or reconciliation processes rather than outright default.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,070Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase enacted in July 2025 via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act set the statutory limit at $41.1 trillion, providing runway well into 2027 according to Bipartisan Policy Center projections that place the next breach between late winter and mid-summer of that year. Treasury extraordinary measures are expected to extend operations several additional months, aligning with the longstanding pattern of congressional action to raise or suspend the limit before any payment disruption. With the next statutory deadline falling inside the market window but under unified Republican control of the White House and Congress, traders assign high probability to routine resolution through appropriations or reconciliation processes rather than outright default.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Обсяг
$15,070Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase enacted in July 2025 via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act set the statutory limit at $41.1 trillion, providing runway well into 2027 according to Bipartisan Policy Center projections that place the next breach between late winter and mid-summer of that year. Treasury extraordinary measures are expected to extend operations several additional months, aligning with the longstanding pattern of congressional action to raise or suspend the limit before any payment disruption. With the next statutory deadline falling inside the market window but under unified Republican control of the White House and Congress, traders assign high probability to routine resolution through appropriations or reconciliation processes rather than outright default.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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