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Політика·Первинні

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Первинні

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

Jim Baird 92%

Craig Haggard 21%

John Piper <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Jim Baird 92%

Craig Haggard 21%

John Piper <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Jim Baird

$414 Обс.

92%

Craig Haggard

$483 Обс.

20%

John Piper

$653 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird holds a commanding 92% implied probability as the Republican nominee for Indiana's 4th Congressional District primary on May 5, driven by his established record since 2019, a recent endorsement from President Trump announced around April 14, and limited visibility for challengers State Rep. Craig Haggard—who received backing from Attorney General Todd Rokita in late March—and businessman John Piper. With no recent polls available, trader consensus reflects incumbency advantages in safe GOP districts and Baird's fundraising edge, though Haggard's criticisms on issues like immigration maintain modest support at 8.5%. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or unexpectedly high challenger turnout in the final weeks before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$1,549
Дата завершення
May 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird holds a commanding 92% implied probability as the Republican nominee for Indiana's 4th Congressional District primary on May 5, driven by his established record since 2019, a recent endorsement from President Trump announced around April 14, and limited visibility for challengers State Rep. Craig Haggard—who received backing from Attorney General Todd Rokita in late March—and businessman John Piper. With no recent polls available, trader consensus reflects incumbency advantages in safe GOP districts and Baird's fundraising edge, though Haggard's criticisms on issues like immigration maintain modest support at 8.5%. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or unexpectedly high challenger turnout in the final weeks before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$1,549
Дата завершення
May 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«IN-04 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jim Baird» з 92%, далі «Craig Haggard» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«IN-04 Republican Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Mar 20, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «IN-04 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «IN-04 Republican Primary Winner» — «Jim Baird» з 92%. Наступний — «Craig Haggard» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «IN-04 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.