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icon for Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?
Світ·Близький Схід

Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?

icon for Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?
Світ·Близький Схід

Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?

$100,611,327 Обс.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$100,611,327 Обс.

Polymarket

7 березня

$0 Обс.

Ні

15 березня

$0 Обс.

Ні

31 березня

$5,162,925 Обс.

Ні

7 квітня

$48,720,376 Обс.

Так

15 квітня

$17,450,416 Обс.

Так

30 квітня

$5,780,137 Обс.

Так

15 травня

$13,670,502 Обс.

Так

30 червня

$5,872,192 Обс.

Так

31 грудня

$3,954,778 Обс.

Так

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, brokered April 8 and extended multiple times through April 23, remains in effect as President Trump awaits Tehran's unified proposal amid stalled talks in Pakistan. Tensions persist with US naval blockade and seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, countered by Iran's April 22 attacks on three ships, while an Israel-Lebanon truce was prolonged by three weeks. No major airstrikes or missile barrages have occurred since early April, but both sides prepare for potential resumption if diplomacy fails. Traders monitor upcoming proposal deadlines and negotiation outcomes, which could signal de-escalation or renewed escalation in this protracted conflict.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.

A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.

This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.

Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Обсяг
$100,611,327
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.

Результат запропоновано: Ні

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Ні

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, brokered April 8 and extended multiple times through April 23, remains in effect as President Trump awaits Tehran's unified proposal amid stalled talks in Pakistan. Tensions persist with US naval blockade and seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, countered by Iran's April 22 attacks on three ships, while an Israel-Lebanon truce was prolonged by three weeks. No major airstrikes or missile barrages have occurred since early April, but both sides prepare for potential resumption if diplomacy fails. Traders monitor upcoming proposal deadlines and negotiation outcomes, which could signal de-escalation or renewed escalation in this protracted conflict.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.

A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.

This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.

Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Обсяг
$100,611,327
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.

Результат запропоновано: Ні

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Ні

Пов'язане

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

56%
icon for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?

100%
icon for Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?

Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?

7%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «7 квітня» з 100%, далі «15 квітня» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?» згенерував $100.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 28, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?» — «7 квітня» з 100%. Наступний — «15 квітня» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Конфлікт Іран x Ізраїль/США закінчиться...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.