**Clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure are driving mild overnight conditions in Cape Town ahead of September 7, 2026.** Multiple forecast models show the daily minimum occurring in the early morning hours under radiative cooling, with projected lows clustered around 14–17°C (roughly 57–63°F). This places the outcome near the middle of the market’s closely bunched probabilities (13°C at 30.5%, 14°C at 29.5%, 19°C+ at 35.0%). Recent observations confirm warmer-than-normal spring nights, with dew points near 12°C limiting further cooling and minimal cloud cover or wind to mix the boundary layer. Model spread remains modest but centers on these values, while historical September minima average lower (~11–12°C); traders appear weighting the current synoptic pattern more heavily than climatology. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service or ECMWF will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
19°C or higher 70%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
18°C 49%
9°C or below
13%
10°C
9%
11°C
49%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
30%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C or higher
70%
19°C or higher 70%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
18°C 49%
9°C or below
13%
10°C
9%
11°C
49%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
30%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure are driving mild overnight conditions in Cape Town ahead of September 7, 2026.** Multiple forecast models show the daily minimum occurring in the early morning hours under radiative cooling, with projected lows clustered around 14–17°C (roughly 57–63°F). This places the outcome near the middle of the market’s closely bunched probabilities (13°C at 30.5%, 14°C at 29.5%, 19°C+ at 35.0%). Recent observations confirm warmer-than-normal spring nights, with dew points near 12°C limiting further cooling and minimal cloud cover or wind to mix the boundary layer. Model spread remains modest but centers on these values, while historical September minima average lower (~11–12°C); traders appear weighting the current synoptic pattern more heavily than climatology. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service or ECMWF will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання