Ongoing Huaxi autumn rain patterns, with persistent cloud cover and light to moderate precipitation forecast for September 23–24, are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds nearly even between a daily minimum of 16°C or below and 26°C or higher. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, producing expected lows near the historical late-September average of 18–20°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows highs of 23–26°C under overcast skies and 40–60% rain probability, with variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity creating the tight spread. Newer model runs or shifts in steering flow could quickly alter the minimum if clearer intervals allow greater cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 24?
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 98%
21°C 44%
20°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
23%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
98%
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 98%
21°C 44%
20°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
17°C
$0 Обс.
38%
18°C
$0 Обс.
38%
19°C
$0 Обс.
39%
20°C
$0 Обс.
40%
21°C
$7 Обс.
23%
22°C
$0 Обс.
40%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
39%
25°C
$0 Обс.
39%
26°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing Huaxi autumn rain patterns, with persistent cloud cover and light to moderate precipitation forecast for September 23–24, are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds nearly even between a daily minimum of 16°C or below and 26°C or higher. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, producing expected lows near the historical late-September average of 18–20°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows highs of 23–26°C under overcast skies and 40–60% rain probability, with variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity creating the tight spread. Newer model runs or shifts in steering flow could quickly alter the minimum if clearer intervals allow greater cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$7Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing Huaxi autumn rain patterns, with persistent cloud cover and light to moderate precipitation forecast for September 23–24, are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds nearly even between a daily minimum of 16°C or below and 26°C or higher. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, producing expected lows near the historical late-September average of 18–20°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows highs of 23–26°C under overcast skies and 40–60% rain probability, with variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity creating the tight spread. Newer model runs or shifts in steering flow could quickly alter the minimum if clearer intervals allow greater cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing Huaxi autumn rain patterns, with persistent cloud cover and light to moderate precipitation forecast for September 23–24, are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds nearly even between a daily minimum of 16°C or below and 26°C or higher. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, producing expected lows near the historical late-September average of 18–20°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows highs of 23–26°C under overcast skies and 40–60% rain probability, with variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity creating the tight spread. Newer model runs or shifts in steering flow could quickly alter the minimum if clearer intervals allow greater cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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