Current forecasts from regional meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 23°C in Chongqing on September 25 under overcast skies turning to light rain, with light northerly winds and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's near-even split between the 23°C and 18°C-or-below outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs amid the Huaxi autumn rain pattern, where persistent cloud cover and weak cold-air intrusions moderate temperature drops. Historical September lows average around 22°C, but ongoing southwest moisture transport and basin topography can suppress cooling further or allow brief clear spells that permit sharper declines depending on the exact timing of frontal passages. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely clarify whether conditions favor the lower or mid-20s range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 25?
18°C or below 90%
28°C or higher 80%
23°C 47%
19°C 39%
18°C or below
90%
19°C
39%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
25%
23°C
47%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
80%
18°C or below 90%
28°C or higher 80%
23°C 47%
19°C 39%
18°C or below
90%
19°C
39%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
25%
23°C
47%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Current forecasts from regional meteorological models project a minimum temperature near 23°C in Chongqing on September 25 under overcast skies turning to light rain, with light northerly winds and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's near-even split between the 23°C and 18°C-or-below outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs amid the Huaxi autumn rain pattern, where persistent cloud cover and weak cold-air intrusions moderate temperature drops. Historical September lows average around 22°C, but ongoing southwest moisture transport and basin topography can suppress cooling further or allow brief clear spells that permit sharper declines depending on the exact timing of frontal passages. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely clarify whether conditions favor the lower or mid-20s range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання