Recent forecasts from regional models indicate persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies over Chongqing through September 7, supporting daytime highs near 35–38 °C and overnight radiative cooling that typically yields minimums of 25–28 °C. Trader emphasis on the 22 °C-or-below outcome (42.5 %) versus clustered mid-20s probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, local terrain effects within the municipality, and minor model spread on dew-point recovery or light winds. Historical September lows average near 22–24 °C, yet current conditions favor a narrower diurnal range than early-month norms, keeping outcomes above 23 °C more likely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and evening model runs on September 6 will clarify the final minimum threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 7?
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 74%
23°C 50%
27°C 50%
22°C or below
86%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
50%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
74%
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 74%
23°C 50%
27°C 50%
22°C or below
86%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
50%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies over Chongqing through September 7, supporting daytime highs near 35–38 °C and overnight radiative cooling that typically yields minimums of 25–28 °C. Trader emphasis on the 22 °C-or-below outcome (42.5 %) versus clustered mid-20s probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, local terrain effects within the municipality, and minor model spread on dew-point recovery or light winds. Historical September lows average near 22–24 °C, yet current conditions favor a narrower diurnal range than early-month norms, keeping outcomes above 23 °C more likely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and evening model runs on September 6 will clarify the final minimum threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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