Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 19–21°C for Jinan on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat effects could shift the recorded low by 2–4°C, keeping probabilities for outcomes near 17°C competitive with cooler bins. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows around 18–20°C, providing context for the current model consensus while underscoring the narrow uncertainty range that keeps multiple temperature thresholds within a few percentage points in the market. Updated runs from major agencies over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 6?
12°C or below 99%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
15°C 88%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
12°C or below
99%
13°C
88%
14°C
88%
15°C
88%
16°C
38%
17°C
50%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
12°C or below 99%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
15°C 88%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
99%
13°C
$0 Обс.
88%
14°C
$0 Обс.
88%
15°C
$0 Обс.
88%
16°C
$69 Обс.
38%
17°C
$10 Обс.
50%
18°C
$181 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$55 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$45 Обс.
1%
21°C
$45 Обс.
1%
22°C or higher
$45 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 19–21°C for Jinan on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat effects could shift the recorded low by 2–4°C, keeping probabilities for outcomes near 17°C competitive with cooler bins. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows around 18–20°C, providing context for the current model consensus while underscoring the narrow uncertainty range that keeps multiple temperature thresholds within a few percentage points in the market. Updated runs from major agencies over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$450Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 19–21°C for Jinan on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat effects could shift the recorded low by 2–4°C, keeping probabilities for outcomes near 17°C competitive with cooler bins. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows around 18–20°C, providing context for the current model consensus while underscoring the narrow uncertainty range that keeps multiple temperature thresholds within a few percentage points in the market. Updated runs from major agencies over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$450Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 19–21°C for Jinan on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat effects could shift the recorded low by 2–4°C, keeping probabilities for outcomes near 17°C competitive with cooler bins. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows around 18–20°C, providing context for the current model consensus while underscoring the narrow uncertainty range that keeps multiple temperature thresholds within a few percentage points in the market. Updated runs from major agencies over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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