**Divergent numerical weather prediction models create the near-even split between a cold outcome (3°C or below at 42.7% implied probability) and a milder one (13°C or higher at 39.5%).** Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with widespread cloud cover and light rain, limit nighttime radiative cooling while also suppressing daytime highs near 10–13°C. Ensemble spreads show minimum temperatures clustered around 5–9°C, close to the September 7 climatological average low of 9.5°C, but some runs allow brief clear periods that could drop readings several degrees lower. Traders weigh the strength of the cold advection against persistent cloud insulation, with final model runs and observational updates expected to sharpen the range before the daily minimum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
6°C 25.8%
5°C 25.4%
10°C 25.4%
12°C 25.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
3°C or below
42%
4°C
7%
5°C
25%
6°C
26%
7°C
14%
8°C
25%
9°C
9%
10°C
25%
11°C
10%
12°C
25%
13°C or higher
42%
6°C 25.8%
5°C 25.4%
10°C 25.4%
12°C 25.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
3°C or below
$137 Обс.
42%
4°C
$67 Обс.
7%
5°C
$57 Обс.
25%
6°C
$57 Обс.
26%
7°C
$272 Обс.
14%
8°C
$372 Обс.
25%
9°C
$407 Обс.
9%
10°C
$57 Обс.
25%
11°C
$137 Обс.
10%
12°C
$137 Обс.
25%
13°C or higher
$137 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergent numerical weather prediction models create the near-even split between a cold outcome (3°C or below at 42.7% implied probability) and a milder one (13°C or higher at 39.5%).** Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with widespread cloud cover and light rain, limit nighttime radiative cooling while also suppressing daytime highs near 10–13°C. Ensemble spreads show minimum temperatures clustered around 5–9°C, close to the September 7 climatological average low of 9.5°C, but some runs allow brief clear periods that could drop readings several degrees lower. Traders weigh the strength of the cold advection against persistent cloud insulation, with final model runs and observational updates expected to sharpen the range before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,837Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergent numerical weather prediction models create the near-even split between a cold outcome (3°C or below at 42.7% implied probability) and a milder one (13°C or higher at 39.5%).** Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with widespread cloud cover and light rain, limit nighttime radiative cooling while also suppressing daytime highs near 10–13°C. Ensemble spreads show minimum temperatures clustered around 5–9°C, close to the September 7 climatological average low of 9.5°C, but some runs allow brief clear periods that could drop readings several degrees lower. Traders weigh the strength of the cold advection against persistent cloud insulation, with final model runs and observational updates expected to sharpen the range before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,837Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Divergent numerical weather prediction models create the near-even split between a cold outcome (3°C or below at 42.7% implied probability) and a milder one (13°C or higher at 39.5%).** Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with widespread cloud cover and light rain, limit nighttime radiative cooling while also suppressing daytime highs near 10–13°C. Ensemble spreads show minimum temperatures clustered around 5–9°C, close to the September 7 climatological average low of 9.5°C, but some runs allow brief clear periods that could drop readings several degrees lower. Traders weigh the strength of the cold advection against persistent cloud insulation, with final model runs and observational updates expected to sharpen the range before the daily minimum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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