Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 24 around 8–10 °C, consistent with the long-term September average low near 9 °C. Clear overnight skies and light winds favor radiative cooling that could push readings several degrees lower, while increasing mid-level cloud or a modest southerly flow would limit the drop. Model spreads remain wide enough that both sub-3 °C and above-11 °C outcomes retain meaningful probability, keeping the 2 °C-or-below and 12 °C-or-higher contracts nearly even at roughly 50 % and 49 % implied odds. The next operational runs and DWD guidance will narrow the range ahead of the overnight minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 24?
2°C or below 100%
12°C or higher 98%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
2°C or below
100%
3°C
39%
4°C
39%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C or higher
98%
2°C or below 100%
12°C or higher 98%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
3°C
$0 Обс.
39%
4°C
$0 Обс.
39%
5°C
$0 Обс.
40%
6°C
$0 Обс.
40%
7°C
$0 Обс.
40%
8°C
$0 Обс.
39%
9°C
$0 Обс.
39%
10°C
$0 Обс.
39%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 24 around 8–10 °C, consistent with the long-term September average low near 9 °C. Clear overnight skies and light winds favor radiative cooling that could push readings several degrees lower, while increasing mid-level cloud or a modest southerly flow would limit the drop. Model spreads remain wide enough that both sub-3 °C and above-11 °C outcomes retain meaningful probability, keeping the 2 °C-or-below and 12 °C-or-higher contracts nearly even at roughly 50 % and 49 % implied odds. The next operational runs and DWD guidance will narrow the range ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 24 around 8–10 °C, consistent with the long-term September average low near 9 °C. Clear overnight skies and light winds favor radiative cooling that could push readings several degrees lower, while increasing mid-level cloud or a modest southerly flow would limit the drop. Model spreads remain wide enough that both sub-3 °C and above-11 °C outcomes retain meaningful probability, keeping the 2 °C-or-below and 12 °C-or-higher contracts nearly even at roughly 50 % and 49 % implied odds. The next operational runs and DWD guidance will narrow the range ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 24 around 8–10 °C, consistent with the long-term September average low near 9 °C. Clear overnight skies and light winds favor radiative cooling that could push readings several degrees lower, while increasing mid-level cloud or a modest southerly flow would limit the drop. Model spreads remain wide enough that both sub-3 °C and above-11 °C outcomes retain meaningful probability, keeping the 2 °C-or-below and 12 °C-or-higher contracts nearly even at roughly 50 % and 49 % implied odds. The next operational runs and DWD guidance will narrow the range ahead of the overnight minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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