Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Monday high in San Francisco of 64–67°F, with the market’s tight clustering around 66–67°F reflecting consensus on persistent onshore flow and marine-layer stratus limiting afternoon warming. Light to moderate west-southwest winds and 50–70% cloud cover through peak heating hours are the dominant controls, while subtle differences in timing of any partial clearing or slight wind shift could separate a 64–65°F outcome from 68–69°F. This setup follows an early-September heat spike and aligns with climatological September averages near 70°F but tempered by stronger-than-normal marine influence. Updated NWS short-range guidance and final KSFO observations tomorrow will resolve the narrow probability bands.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 21?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 21?
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 30%
64-65°F 23%
70-71°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
61°F or below
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 30%
64-65°F 23%
70-71°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
61°F or below
$10 Обс.
2%
62-63°F
$54 Обс.
4%
64-65°F
$829 Обс.
23%
66-67°F
$532 Обс.
39%
68-69°F
$428 Обс.
30%
70-71°F
$448 Обс.
8%
72-73°F
$62 Обс.
3%
74-75°F
$10 Обс.
2%
76-77°F
$10 Обс.
2%
78-79°F
$43 Обс.
1%
80°F or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Monday high in San Francisco of 64–67°F, with the market’s tight clustering around 66–67°F reflecting consensus on persistent onshore flow and marine-layer stratus limiting afternoon warming. Light to moderate west-southwest winds and 50–70% cloud cover through peak heating hours are the dominant controls, while subtle differences in timing of any partial clearing or slight wind shift could separate a 64–65°F outcome from 68–69°F. This setup follows an early-September heat spike and aligns with climatological September averages near 70°F but tempered by stronger-than-normal marine influence. Updated NWS short-range guidance and final KSFO observations tomorrow will resolve the narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,436Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Monday high in San Francisco of 64–67°F, with the market’s tight clustering around 66–67°F reflecting consensus on persistent onshore flow and marine-layer stratus limiting afternoon warming. Light to moderate west-southwest winds and 50–70% cloud cover through peak heating hours are the dominant controls, while subtle differences in timing of any partial clearing or slight wind shift could separate a 64–65°F outcome from 68–69°F. This setup follows an early-September heat spike and aligns with climatological September averages near 70°F but tempered by stronger-than-normal marine influence. Updated NWS short-range guidance and final KSFO observations tomorrow will resolve the narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,436Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Monday high in San Francisco of 64–67°F, with the market’s tight clustering around 66–67°F reflecting consensus on persistent onshore flow and marine-layer stratus limiting afternoon warming. Light to moderate west-southwest winds and 50–70% cloud cover through peak heating hours are the dominant controls, while subtle differences in timing of any partial clearing or slight wind shift could separate a 64–65°F outcome from 68–69°F. This setup follows an early-September heat spike and aligns with climatological September averages near 70°F but tempered by stronger-than-normal marine influence. Updated NWS short-range guidance and final KSFO observations tomorrow will resolve the narrow probability bands.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання