The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
42-43°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$39,408 Обс.
$39,408 Обс.
Apr 25, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
Yes
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
42-43°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$39,408 Обс.
$39,408 Обс.
Apr 25, 2026
37°F or below
$1,083 Обс.
No
38-39°F
$9,325 Обс.
No
40-41°F
$3,435 Обс.
No
42-43°F
$6,408 Обс.
Yes
44-45°F
$2,361 Обс.
No
46-47°F
$2,009 Обс.
No
48-49°F
$2,740 Обс.
No
50-51°F
$3,271 Обс.
No
52-53°F
$2,103 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$3,888 Обс.
No
56°F or higher
$2,786 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,408Дата завершення
Apr 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$39,408Дата завершення
Apr 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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