**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F at key NYC stations (including Central Park and LaGuardia references) on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow that limited overnight radiative cooling.** This outcome aligned closely with pre-event model guidance from the NWS and major ensembles, which consistently projected overnight lows in that narrow band amid typical mid-June maritime air influence. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 65°F, providing additional context that reinforced trader confidence. The overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 64–65°F reflects this strong data consensus backed by real capital at risk. Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late revision to the official climatological report (rare for NWS daily summaries) or a station-specific anomaly exceeding normal observational variance, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on June 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 17?
64-65°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$31,572 Обс.
$31,572 Обс.
Jun 17, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$31,572 Обс.
$31,572 Обс.
Jun 17, 2026
53°F or below
$2,308 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$881 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$3,090 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$5,103 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$2,863 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$2,803 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$7,515 Обс.
Yes
66-67°F
$4,284 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$1,316 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$955 Обс.
No
72°F or higher
$454 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F at key NYC stations (including Central Park and LaGuardia references) on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow that limited overnight radiative cooling.** This outcome aligned closely with pre-event model guidance from the NWS and major ensembles, which consistently projected overnight lows in that narrow band amid typical mid-June maritime air influence. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 65°F, providing additional context that reinforced trader confidence. The overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 64–65°F reflects this strong data consensus backed by real capital at risk.
Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late revision to the official climatological report (rare for NWS daily summaries) or a station-specific anomaly exceeding normal observational variance, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,572Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F at key NYC stations (including Central Park and LaGuardia references) on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow that limited overnight radiative cooling.** This outcome aligned closely with pre-event model guidance from the NWS and major ensembles, which consistently projected overnight lows in that narrow band amid typical mid-June maritime air influence. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 65°F, providing additional context that reinforced trader confidence. The overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 64–65°F reflects this strong data consensus backed by real capital at risk.
Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late revision to the official climatological report (rare for NWS daily summaries) or a station-specific anomaly exceeding normal observational variance, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,572Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F at key NYC stations (including Central Park and LaGuardia references) on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow that limited overnight radiative cooling.** This outcome aligned closely with pre-event model guidance from the NWS and major ensembles, which consistently projected overnight lows in that narrow band amid typical mid-June maritime air influence. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 65°F, providing additional context that reinforced trader confidence. The overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 64–65°F reflects this strong data consensus backed by real capital at risk. Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late revision to the official climatological report (rare for NWS daily summaries) or a station-specific anomaly exceeding normal observational variance, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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