**Current forecast consensus from models like those referenced by Yr.no and WeatherBug positions the overnight low in Tel Aviv for September 7 near 24–25°C, aligning with the market's leading 43.5% implied probability on exactly 25°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early September, combined with light winds and partly cloudy skies, support radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–32°C, with dew points near 22–24°C limiting further drops. Historical September baselines for the region show average minima of 23–25°C, and recent observations indicate no incoming fronts or heat advection to push values notably higher or lower. The elevated 30% odds on 30°C or higher reflect residual uncertainty in model runs, while lower probabilities on 20–22°C underscore the limited scope for stronger cooling under current atmospheric stability. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and local station data ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7?
30°C or higher 59%
25°C 49%
26°C 44%
22°C 42%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
20°C or below
41%
21°C
14%
22°C
42%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
44%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
59%
30°C or higher 59%
25°C 49%
26°C 44%
22°C 42%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
41%
21°C
$0 Обс.
14%
22°C
$0 Обс.
42%
23°C
$6 Обс.
21%
24°C
$27 Обс.
26%
25°C
$30 Обс.
49%
26°C
$6 Обс.
44%
27°C
$0 Обс.
3%
28°C
$0 Обс.
3%
29°C
$0 Обс.
3%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from models like those referenced by Yr.no and WeatherBug positions the overnight low in Tel Aviv for September 7 near 24–25°C, aligning with the market's leading 43.5% implied probability on exactly 25°C.**
Stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early September, combined with light winds and partly cloudy skies, support radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–32°C, with dew points near 22–24°C limiting further drops. Historical September baselines for the region show average minima of 23–25°C, and recent observations indicate no incoming fronts or heat advection to push values notably higher or lower. The elevated 30% odds on 30°C or higher reflect residual uncertainty in model runs, while lower probabilities on 20–22°C underscore the limited scope for stronger cooling under current atmospheric stability. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and local station data ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$69Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from models like those referenced by Yr.no and WeatherBug positions the overnight low in Tel Aviv for September 7 near 24–25°C, aligning with the market's leading 43.5% implied probability on exactly 25°C.**
Stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early September, combined with light winds and partly cloudy skies, support radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–32°C, with dew points near 22–24°C limiting further drops. Historical September baselines for the region show average minima of 23–25°C, and recent observations indicate no incoming fronts or heat advection to push values notably higher or lower. The elevated 30% odds on 30°C or higher reflect residual uncertainty in model runs, while lower probabilities on 20–22°C underscore the limited scope for stronger cooling under current atmospheric stability. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and local station data ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$69Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from models like those referenced by Yr.no and WeatherBug positions the overnight low in Tel Aviv for September 7 near 24–25°C, aligning with the market's leading 43.5% implied probability on exactly 25°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early September, combined with light winds and partly cloudy skies, support radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–32°C, with dew points near 22–24°C limiting further drops. Historical September baselines for the region show average minima of 23–25°C, and recent observations indicate no incoming fronts or heat advection to push values notably higher or lower. The elevated 30% odds on 30°C or higher reflect residual uncertainty in model runs, while lower probabilities on 20–22°C underscore the limited scope for stronger cooling under current atmospheric stability. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and local station data ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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