Forecast models for Warsaw on September 24 show high uncertainty, with market odds nearly even between a low of 2°C or below and 12°C or higher. This split reflects divergent ensemble guidance on whether a strengthening high-pressure ridge will allow radiational cooling under clear skies or if Atlantic moisture and southerly flow will moderate temperatures. Key variables include 850 hPa temperature advection, boundary-layer wind speeds, and cloud cover timing, which can shift minimums by 5–8°C. Historical late-September climatology in central Poland centers near 8–11°C, but current synoptic patterns place the region near a sharp temperature gradient. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely resolve the spread before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 24?
2°C or below 100%
12°C or higher 98%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
2°C or below
100%
3°C
38%
4°C
38%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
38%
10°C
38%
11°C
38%
12°C or higher
98%
2°C or below 100%
12°C or higher 98%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
3°C
$0 Обс.
38%
4°C
$0 Обс.
38%
5°C
$0 Обс.
40%
6°C
$0 Обс.
40%
7°C
$0 Обс.
39%
8°C
$0 Обс.
39%
9°C
$0 Обс.
38%
10°C
$0 Обс.
38%
11°C
$0 Обс.
38%
12°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Warsaw on September 24 show high uncertainty, with market odds nearly even between a low of 2°C or below and 12°C or higher. This split reflects divergent ensemble guidance on whether a strengthening high-pressure ridge will allow radiational cooling under clear skies or if Atlantic moisture and southerly flow will moderate temperatures. Key variables include 850 hPa temperature advection, boundary-layer wind speeds, and cloud cover timing, which can shift minimums by 5–8°C. Historical late-September climatology in central Poland centers near 8–11°C, but current synoptic patterns place the region near a sharp temperature gradient. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely resolve the spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Warsaw on September 24 show high uncertainty, with market odds nearly even between a low of 2°C or below and 12°C or higher. This split reflects divergent ensemble guidance on whether a strengthening high-pressure ridge will allow radiational cooling under clear skies or if Atlantic moisture and southerly flow will moderate temperatures. Key variables include 850 hPa temperature advection, boundary-layer wind speeds, and cloud cover timing, which can shift minimums by 5–8°C. Historical late-September climatology in central Poland centers near 8–11°C, but current synoptic patterns place the region near a sharp temperature gradient. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely resolve the spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Warsaw on September 24 show high uncertainty, with market odds nearly even between a low of 2°C or below and 12°C or higher. This split reflects divergent ensemble guidance on whether a strengthening high-pressure ridge will allow radiational cooling under clear skies or if Atlantic moisture and southerly flow will moderate temperatures. Key variables include 850 hPa temperature advection, boundary-layer wind speeds, and cloud cover timing, which can shift minimums by 5–8°C. Historical late-September climatology in central Poland centers near 8–11°C, but current synoptic patterns place the region near a sharp temperature gradient. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely resolve the spread before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання