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Ras Baraka 96%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.3%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Nasheedah Singleton <1%

Polymarket

$14,569 Обс.

Ras Baraka 96%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.3%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Nasheedah Singleton <1%

Polymarket

$14,569 Обс.

Ras Baraka

$3,262 Обс.

96%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$859 Обс.

1%

Douglas Davis

$869 Обс.

1%

Nasheedah Singleton

$963 Обс.

1%

Sheila Montague

$1,313 Обс.

1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$981 Обс.

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$965 Обс.

<1%

Noble Milton

$2,994 Обс.

<1%

Debra Salters

$972 Обс.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$1,393 Обс.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka holds commanding trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Newark's May 12, 2026, nonpartisan mayoral election, driven by his 12-year record of achievements highlighted in a major April 1 campaign speech at NJPAC and strong incumbency advantages including name recognition and local political machine support. Certified challengers like Asha Coates-Hamlet and Douglas Davis remain minor figures with limited visibility, as noted in February analyses deeming none credible threats. Recent community events, such as the April 14 Neighborhood Branding Initiative unveiling, reinforce Baraka's momentum. A runoff looms only if no candidate exceeds 50% on election night, but upset scenarios—such as a late-breaking scandal or unusually high challenger turnout—could narrow the gap despite structural barriers.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Обсяг
$14,569
Дата завершення
May 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka holds commanding trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Newark's May 12, 2026, nonpartisan mayoral election, driven by his 12-year record of achievements highlighted in a major April 1 campaign speech at NJPAC and strong incumbency advantages including name recognition and local political machine support. Certified challengers like Asha Coates-Hamlet and Douglas Davis remain minor figures with limited visibility, as noted in February analyses deeming none credible threats. Recent community events, such as the April 14 Neighborhood Branding Initiative unveiling, reinforce Baraka's momentum. A runoff looms only if no candidate exceeds 50% on election night, but upset scenarios—such as a late-breaking scandal or unusually high challenger turnout—could narrow the gap despite structural barriers.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Обсяг
$14,569
Дата завершення
May 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Newark Mayoral Election» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ras Baraka» з 96%, далі «Asha Coates-Hamlet» з 1%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Newark Mayoral Election» згенерував $14.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 10, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Newark Mayoral Election», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Newark Mayoral Election» — «Ras Baraka» з 96%. Наступний — «Asha Coates-Hamlet» з 1%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Newark Mayoral Election» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.