New Jersey's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Camden County and surrounding South Jersey suburbs, where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge over Republicans. Incumbent Donald Norcross, serving since 2014, secured re-election in 2024 by nearly 16 points and faces limited opposition from the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt and Norcross's established fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or a major shift in local turnout patterns could narrow the margin, though such developments would require sustained momentum not evident in current indicators.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-01 House Election Winner
NJ-01 House Election Winner
$43,507 Обс.
$43,507 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$43,507 Обс.
$43,507 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,879 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$16,628 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Camden County and surrounding South Jersey suburbs, where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge over Republicans. Incumbent Donald Norcross, serving since 2014, secured re-election in 2024 by nearly 16 points and faces limited opposition from the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt and Norcross's established fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or a major shift in local turnout patterns could narrow the margin, though such developments would require sustained momentum not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$43,507Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Camden County and surrounding South Jersey suburbs, where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge over Republicans. Incumbent Donald Norcross, serving since 2014, secured re-election in 2024 by nearly 16 points and faces limited opposition from the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt and Norcross's established fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or a major shift in local turnout patterns could narrow the margin, though such developments would require sustained momentum not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$43,507Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Camden County and surrounding South Jersey suburbs, where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge over Republicans. Incumbent Donald Norcross, serving since 2014, secured re-election in 2024 by nearly 16 points and faces limited opposition from the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt and Norcross's established fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or a major shift in local turnout patterns could narrow the margin, though such developments would require sustained momentum not evident in current indicators.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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