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icon for Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Геополітика·путін

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

icon for Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Геополітика·путін

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Jul 1, 2027

Jul 1, 2027

$23,682,430 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Заробляйте 3.25%
Polymarket

$23,682,430 Обс.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$1,205,404 Обс.

1%

December 31, 2026

$20,699,512 Обс.

7%

June 30, 2027

$423,562 Обс.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin maintains firm control over Russia's political system and security apparatus as of mid-September 2026, with no verified signs of internal challenges or health issues that would alter his tenure. Ongoing battlefield operations in Ukraine, including incremental advances in Donetsk and rejection of ceasefire proposals, align with his stated objectives and show continuity rather than instability. Recent diplomacy, including meetings with U.S. envoys and participation in the BRICS summit, positions him as the central decision-maker on foreign policy and any potential negotiations. The September State Duma elections further reinforce ruling-party alignment under his leadership. Low market probabilities reflect the absence of immediate succession triggers, constitutional barriers to abrupt removal, and historical patterns of elite consolidation around the incumbent during external conflicts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$23,682,430
Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin maintains firm control over Russia's political system and security apparatus as of mid-September 2026, with no verified signs of internal challenges or health issues that would alter his tenure. Ongoing battlefield operations in Ukraine, including incremental advances in Donetsk and rejection of ceasefire proposals, align with his stated objectives and show continuity rather than instability. Recent diplomacy, including meetings with U.S. envoys and participation in the BRICS summit, positions him as the central decision-maker on foreign policy and any potential negotiations. The September State Duma elections further reinforce ruling-party alignment under his leadership. Low market probabilities reflect the absence of immediate succession triggers, constitutional barriers to abrupt removal, and historical patterns of elite consolidation around the incumbent during external conflicts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$23,682,430
Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Putin out as President of Russia by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «June 30, 2027» з 14%, далі «December 31, 2026» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Putin out as President of Russia by...?» згенерував $23.7 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 6, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Putin out as President of Russia by...?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Putin out as President of Russia by...?» — «June 30, 2027» з 14%. Наступний — «December 31, 2026» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Putin out as President of Russia by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.