The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear testing since 1992, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program and computer simulations to certify warhead safety and performance. In October 2025, President Trump directed the Pentagon to begin nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations amid concerns over Russian and Chinese activities, though Energy Department and STRATCOM officials later clarified that this referred primarily to non-explosive or subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Technical preparations at the Nevada National Security Site would require up to 36 months for an underground test, while domestic and international political constraints, including CTBT commitments observed by most states, continue to shape policy. No explosive test has occurred, and administration statements through early 2026 have not altered the standing moratorium.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯдерне випробування США...?
Ядерне випробування США...?
$667,612 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
30 червня 2026 року
2%
30 вересня 2026 року
5%
31 грудня 2026 року
9%
$667,612 Обс.
30 червня 2026 року
$40,220 Обс.
2%
30 вересня 2026 року
$6,656 Обс.
5%
31 грудня 2026 року
$10,517 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear testing since 1992, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program and computer simulations to certify warhead safety and performance. In October 2025, President Trump directed the Pentagon to begin nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations amid concerns over Russian and Chinese activities, though Energy Department and STRATCOM officials later clarified that this referred primarily to non-explosive or subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Technical preparations at the Nevada National Security Site would require up to 36 months for an underground test, while domestic and international political constraints, including CTBT commitments observed by most states, continue to shape policy. No explosive test has occurred, and administration statements through early 2026 have not altered the standing moratorium.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$667,612Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear testing since 1992, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program and computer simulations to certify warhead safety and performance. In October 2025, President Trump directed the Pentagon to begin nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations amid concerns over Russian and Chinese activities, though Energy Department and STRATCOM officials later clarified that this referred primarily to non-explosive or subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Technical preparations at the Nevada National Security Site would require up to 36 months for an underground test, while domestic and international political constraints, including CTBT commitments observed by most states, continue to shape policy. No explosive test has occurred, and administration statements through early 2026 have not altered the standing moratorium.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$667,612Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear testing since 1992, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program and computer simulations to certify warhead safety and performance. In October 2025, President Trump directed the Pentagon to begin nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations amid concerns over Russian and Chinese activities, though Energy Department and STRATCOM officials later clarified that this referred primarily to non-explosive or subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Technical preparations at the Nevada National Security Site would require up to 36 months for an underground test, while domestic and international political constraints, including CTBT commitments observed by most states, continue to shape policy. No explosive test has occurred, and administration statements through early 2026 have not altered the standing moratorium.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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