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Політика·Первинні

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

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Політика·Первинні

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

Christian Menefee 85.3%

Al Green 13.0%

Amanda Edwards <1%

Gretchen Brown <1%

Polymarket

$22,953 Обс.

Christian Menefee 85.3%

Al Green 13.0%

Amanda Edwards <1%

Gretchen Brown <1%

Polymarket

$22,953 Обс.

Christian Menefee

$14,080 Обс.

85%

Al Green

$3,873 Обс.

12%

Amanda Edwards

$2,409 Обс.

<1%

Gretchen Brown

$2,591 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Christian Menefee at 86.5% implied probability to win the TX-18 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his first-round lead of 48.8% to Al Green's 43% in the March 3 contest amid redistricting that pitted the two incumbents—Menefee via a recent special election victory—against each other. Recent UH Hobby School and NYT polling averages show Menefee ahead by six points (41-35%), bolstered by superior Q1 fundraising where his campaign raised $1 million, including $600,000 post-primary, outpacing Green despite the latter's self-loan. Green's criticisms of Menefee's missed votes have not shifted momentum, leaving challengers Amanda Edwards and Gretchen Brown as negligible at 0.3% each after weak primary showings. Early voting and turnout in this Houston battleground will be pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,953
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Christian Menefee at 86.5% implied probability to win the TX-18 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his first-round lead of 48.8% to Al Green's 43% in the March 3 contest amid redistricting that pitted the two incumbents—Menefee via a recent special election victory—against each other. Recent UH Hobby School and NYT polling averages show Menefee ahead by six points (41-35%), bolstered by superior Q1 fundraising where his campaign raised $1 million, including $600,000 post-primary, outpacing Green despite the latter's self-loan. Green's criticisms of Menefee's missed votes have not shifted momentum, leaving challengers Amanda Edwards and Gretchen Brown as negligible at 0.3% each after weak primary showings. Early voting and turnout in this Houston battleground will be pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,953
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Christian Menefee» з 85%, далі «Al Green» з 12%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $23K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 4, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Christian Menefee» з 85%. Наступний — «Al Green» з 12%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.