Recent high-level US-China economic consultations in New York, involving Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, USTR Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on carving out non-strategic goods for reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade each way. These talks, labeled very successful by US officials, build on the May 2026 leaders' summit framework, including the Board of Trade mechanism, and occur ahead of a Trump-Xi meeting while the existing trade truce approaches its November 10 expiration. Traders see these sustained diplomatic channels, prior commitments capping replacement tariffs near 20 percent, and focus on critical minerals and market access as strong signals that a tariff agreement will be reached by year-end, though late shifts in summit outcomes or unresolved issues could still alter the path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено89% шанс
$260,121 Обс.
$260,121 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
89% шанс
$260,121 Обс.
$260,121 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic consultations in New York, involving Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, USTR Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on carving out non-strategic goods for reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade each way. These talks, labeled very successful by US officials, build on the May 2026 leaders' summit framework, including the Board of Trade mechanism, and occur ahead of a Trump-Xi meeting while the existing trade truce approaches its November 10 expiration. Traders see these sustained diplomatic channels, prior commitments capping replacement tariffs near 20 percent, and focus on critical minerals and market access as strong signals that a tariff agreement will be reached by year-end, though late shifts in summit outcomes or unresolved issues could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Ринок відкрито: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$260,121Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic consultations in New York, involving Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, USTR Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on carving out non-strategic goods for reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade each way. These talks, labeled very successful by US officials, build on the May 2026 leaders' summit framework, including the Board of Trade mechanism, and occur ahead of a Trump-Xi meeting while the existing trade truce approaches its November 10 expiration. Traders see these sustained diplomatic channels, prior commitments capping replacement tariffs near 20 percent, and focus on critical minerals and market access as strong signals that a tariff agreement will be reached by year-end, though late shifts in summit outcomes or unresolved issues could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Обсяг
$260,121Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent high-level US-China economic consultations in New York, involving Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, USTR Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on carving out non-strategic goods for reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade each way. These talks, labeled very successful by US officials, build on the May 2026 leaders' summit framework, including the Board of Trade mechanism, and occur ahead of a Trump-Xi meeting while the existing trade truce approaches its November 10 expiration. Traders see these sustained diplomatic channels, prior commitments capping replacement tariffs near 20 percent, and focus on critical minerals and market access as strong signals that a tariff agreement will be reached by year-end, though late shifts in summit outcomes or unresolved issues could still alter the path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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