Skip to main content
icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Фінанси·Бізнес

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Фінанси·Бізнес

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$145,449 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$145,449 Обс.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$25,290 Обс.

6%

Frontier Airlines

$34,265 Обс.

9%

Allegiant

$37,770 Обс.

3%

American Airlines

$17,392 Обс.

2%

Alaska Airlines

$30,731 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East supply disruptions since early 2026, remain the dominant catalyst compressing operating margins for leveraged U.S. carriers and sustaining low single-digit implied probabilities on Polymarket for additional bankruptcy filings by year-end. Spirit Airlines' May 2026 liquidation after two Chapter 11 filings illustrates how $4+ per gallon fuel can overwhelm even restructured balance sheets with multi-billion debt loads and thin liquidity. JetBlue faces the steepest near-term exposure given roughly $9 billion in debt, projected 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion under sustained fuel levels, and upcoming debt maturities, while Frontier contends with high aircraft lease obligations and integration risks. Allegiant and legacy carriers carry materially lower risk. Traders are watching winter booking trends, potential FOMC-driven rate effects on financing costs, and any Q3 earnings revisions for signs of further distress.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$145,449
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East supply disruptions since early 2026, remain the dominant catalyst compressing operating margins for leveraged U.S. carriers and sustaining low single-digit implied probabilities on Polymarket for additional bankruptcy filings by year-end. Spirit Airlines' May 2026 liquidation after two Chapter 11 filings illustrates how $4+ per gallon fuel can overwhelm even restructured balance sheets with multi-billion debt loads and thin liquidity. JetBlue faces the steepest near-term exposure given roughly $9 billion in debt, projected 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion under sustained fuel levels, and upcoming debt maturities, while Frontier contends with high aircraft lease obligations and integration risks. Allegiant and legacy carriers carry materially lower risk. Traders are watching winter booking trends, potential FOMC-driven rate effects on financing costs, and any Q3 earnings revisions for signs of further distress.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$145,449
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Пов'язане

icon for Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?

43%
icon for Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

4%
icon for IPO SHEIN до 2027 року?

IPO SHEIN до 2027 року?

94%
Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Frontier Airlines» з 9%, далі «JetBlue» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» згенерував $145.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 5, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — «Frontier Airlines» лише з 9%, а «JetBlue» — близько позаду з 6%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.