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Фінанси·Бізнес

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Фінанси·Бізнес

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$153,297 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$153,297 Обс.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$27,613 Обс.

7%

Frontier Airlines

$36,231 Обс.

11%

Allegiant

$38,433 Обс.

3%

American Airlines

$18,175 Обс.

2%

Alaska Airlines

$32,844 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices, driven by the 2026 Middle East conflict and Iran-related supply disruptions, represent the dominant catalyst shaping trader views on airline bankruptcies by year-end. Unhedged carriers face costs that doubled or more, with the Argus index peaking near $4.88 per gallon earlier this year, pressuring margins for ultra-low-cost carriers. Spirit Airlines completed liquidation in May after its second Chapter 11 filing, while AirBaltic entered Chapter 11 on September 14 amid €583 million in funded debt and acute liquidity strain. JetBlue, carrying roughly $9 billion in debt with a CCC+ rating and $755 million in 2026 maturities, draws elevated scrutiny despite its CEO’s April statement ruling out a filing this year. Industry-wide Q1 2026 net losses of nearly $1 billion underscore the sector’s vulnerability, with upcoming debt deadlines and fuel trajectory likely to drive further sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$153,297
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070be91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices, driven by the 2026 Middle East conflict and Iran-related supply disruptions, represent the dominant catalyst shaping trader views on airline bankruptcies by year-end. Unhedged carriers face costs that doubled or more, with the Argus index peaking near $4.88 per gallon earlier this year, pressuring margins for ultra-low-cost carriers. Spirit Airlines completed liquidation in May after its second Chapter 11 filing, while AirBaltic entered Chapter 11 on September 14 amid €583 million in funded debt and acute liquidity strain. JetBlue, carrying roughly $9 billion in debt with a CCC+ rating and $755 million in 2026 maturities, draws elevated scrutiny despite its CEO’s April statement ruling out a filing this year. Industry-wide Q1 2026 net losses of nearly $1 billion underscore the sector’s vulnerability, with upcoming debt deadlines and fuel trajectory likely to drive further sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$153,297
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070be91...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Frontier Airlines» з 12%, далі «JetBlue» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» згенерував $153.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 5, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — «Frontier Airlines» з 12%. Наступний — «JetBlue» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.