**Z.ai leads trader sentiment at 90% implied probability** due to credible speculation linking Ox Alpha to the Chinese lab behind GLM-5. The model surfaced on OpenRouter in mid-August 2026 as an anonymous “stealth” reasoning model with a 1M-token context window, multimodal inputs, and strong coding/agentic performance, offered free during preview. Observers noted the “Alpha” naming pattern matching Z.ai’s earlier anonymous GLM-5 test under “Pony Alpha,” plus matching tokenizer behavior and response patterns. No official attribution has emerged, leaving room for shifts if the provider reveals itself or new benchmarks contradict the link. Other listed entities, including major labs and platforms, trade near negligible odds absent comparable technical or historical signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company does Ox Alpha belong to?
Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
Z.ai 90%
Google 4.0%
Xiaomi 3.1%
Cursor 1.8%
НОВЕ
$30,437 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,437 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Z.ai
90%
4%
Xiaomi
3%
Cursor
2%
Safe Superintelligence
2%
Meta
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
1%
xAI
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meituan
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Anthropic
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Amazon
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot AI
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Z.ai 90%
Google 4.0%
Xiaomi 3.1%
Cursor 1.8%
НОВЕ
$30,437 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,437 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Z.ai
$9,542 Обс.
90%
$1,708 Обс.
4%
Xiaomi
$1,320 Обс.
3%
Cursor
$1,224 Обс.
2%
Safe Superintelligence
$1,424 Обс.
2%
Meta
$366 Обс.
1%
Microsoft
$1,177 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$1,002 Обс.
1%
xAI
$1,317 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,289 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,121 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$579 Обс.
<1%
OpenAI
$527 Обс.
<1%
Anthropic
$547 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$532 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$918 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$770 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$871 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$984 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$881 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$981 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot AI
$757 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$602 Обс.
<1%
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Z.ai leads trader sentiment at 90% implied probability** due to credible speculation linking Ox Alpha to the Chinese lab behind GLM-5. The model surfaced on OpenRouter in mid-August 2026 as an anonymous “stealth” reasoning model with a 1M-token context window, multimodal inputs, and strong coding/agentic performance, offered free during preview. Observers noted the “Alpha” naming pattern matching Z.ai’s earlier anonymous GLM-5 test under “Pony Alpha,” plus matching tokenizer behavior and response patterns. No official attribution has emerged, leaving room for shifts if the provider reveals itself or new benchmarks contradict the link. Other listed entities, including major labs and platforms, trade near negligible odds absent comparable technical or historical signals.
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,437Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Z.ai leads trader sentiment at 90% implied probability** due to credible speculation linking Ox Alpha to the Chinese lab behind GLM-5. The model surfaced on OpenRouter in mid-August 2026 as an anonymous “stealth” reasoning model with a 1M-token context window, multimodal inputs, and strong coding/agentic performance, offered free during preview. Observers noted the “Alpha” naming pattern matching Z.ai’s earlier anonymous GLM-5 test under “Pony Alpha,” plus matching tokenizer behavior and response patterns. No official attribution has emerged, leaving room for shifts if the provider reveals itself or new benchmarks contradict the link. Other listed entities, including major labs and platforms, trade near negligible odds absent comparable technical or historical signals.
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$30,437Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Z.ai leads trader sentiment at 90% implied probability** due to credible speculation linking Ox Alpha to the Chinese lab behind GLM-5. The model surfaced on OpenRouter in mid-August 2026 as an anonymous “stealth” reasoning model with a 1M-token context window, multimodal inputs, and strong coding/agentic performance, offered free during preview. Observers noted the “Alpha” naming pattern matching Z.ai’s earlier anonymous GLM-5 test under “Pony Alpha,” plus matching tokenizer behavior and response patterns. No official attribution has emerged, leaving room for shifts if the provider reveals itself or new benchmarks contradict the link. Other listed entities, including major labs and platforms, trade near negligible odds absent comparable technical or historical signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання