Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$382,302 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Donald Brodie
47%
Daniel Penny
31%
Stefan Brodie
30%
Ryan Salame
23%
Matt Gaetz
23%
Roger Stone
15%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Steve Bannon
13%
Eric Adams
12%
Martin Shkreli
11%
Antoine Massey
10%
Joe Exotic
10%
Elizabeth Holmes
9%
Roger Ver
8%
Ghislaine Maxwell
7%
Julian Assange
7%
Himself
6%
Bob Menendez
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Nicolas Maduro
4%
Diddy
3%
Young Thug
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Edward Snowden
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
$382,302 Обс.
Donald Brodie
$606 Обс.
47%
Daniel Penny
$346 Обс.
31%
Stefan Brodie
$1,986 Обс.
30%
Ryan Salame
$24,495 Обс.
23%
Matt Gaetz
$2,450 Обс.
23%
Roger Stone
$564 Обс.
15%
Keonne Rodriguez
$15,237 Обс.
15%
Steve Bannon
$7,794 Обс.
13%
Eric Adams
$641 Обс.
12%
Martin Shkreli
$29,524 Обс.
11%
Antoine Massey
$344 Обс.
10%
Joe Exotic
$1,086 Обс.
10%
Elizabeth Holmes
$2,012 Обс.
9%
Roger Ver
$714 Обс.
8%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$19,029 Обс.
7%
Julian Assange
$2,272 Обс.
7%
Himself
$10,515 Обс.
6%
Bob Menendez
$195 Обс.
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
$125,521 Обс.
5%
Derek Chauvin
$19,066 Обс.
5%
Andrew Tate
$70 Обс.
5%
Nicolas Maduro
$8,597 Обс.
4%
Diddy
$22,490 Обс.
3%
Young Thug
$4,281 Обс.
3%
Elon Musk
$51,826 Обс.
3%
Do Kwon
$23,085 Обс.
3%
Edward Snowden
$2,074 Обс.
2%
Hunter Biden
$5,483 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Обсяг
$382,302Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$382,302Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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