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Політика·SBF

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Політика·SBF

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$473,146 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$473,146 Обс.

Polymarket

Roger Stone

$8,699 Обс.

26%

Stefan Brodie

$2,809 Обс.

20%

Ryan Salame

$32,068 Обс.

15%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,544 Обс.

15%

Matt Gaetz

$6,364 Обс.

13%

Daniel Penny

$508 Обс.

11%

Donald Brodie

$5,058 Обс.

11%

Steve Bannon

$8,089 Обс.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Обс.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Обс.

9%

Young Thug

$4,717 Обс.

7%

Roger Ver

$2,793 Обс.

7%

Derek Chauvin

$26,856 Обс.

6%

Bob Menendez

$295 Обс.

6%

Julian Assange

$4,323 Обс.

6%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,613 Обс.

5%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$25,398 Обс.

5%

Diddy

$30,939 Обс.

4%

Andrew Tate

$1,485 Обс.

4%

Nicolas Maduro

$10,351 Обс.

4%

Martin Shkreli

$31,318 Обс.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$141,700 Обс.

4%

Edward Snowden

$3,226 Обс.

4%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Обс.

3%

Himself

$13,668 Обс.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,621 Обс.

3%

Elon Musk

$53,076 Обс.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,679 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second-term clemency record shows frequent grants that bypass traditional DOJ review, often favoring individuals with political ties, donor connections, or alignment on issues such as January 6 cases, election-related matters, fraud, drug offenses, and financial crimes. Since January 2025 he has issued over 160 pardons and commutations, including mass actions for Capitol defendants and fake electors plus targeted relief for figures like Changpeng Zhao and recent September 2026 recipients tied to drug or union cases. Trader attention centers on names with documented proximity to Trump allies or past legal matters, with the pre-2027 window leaving room for further executive actions before year-end. Market pricing reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessing access patterns and scheduled opportunities rather than guaranteed outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$473,146
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second-term clemency record shows frequent grants that bypass traditional DOJ review, often favoring individuals with political ties, donor connections, or alignment on issues such as January 6 cases, election-related matters, fraud, drug offenses, and financial crimes. Since January 2025 he has issued over 160 pardons and commutations, including mass actions for Capitol defendants and fake electors plus targeted relief for figures like Changpeng Zhao and recent September 2026 recipients tied to drug or union cases. Trader attention centers on names with documented proximity to Trump allies or past legal matters, with the pre-2027 window leaving room for further executive actions before year-end. Market pricing reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessing access patterns and scheduled opportunities rather than guaranteed outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$473,146
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will Trump pardon before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 28 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Roger Stone» з 26%, далі «Stefan Brodie» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will Trump pardon before 2027?» згенерував $473.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will Trump pardon before 2027?», перегляньте 28 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will Trump pardon before 2027?» — «Roger Stone» з 26%. Наступний — «Stefan Brodie» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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