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Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

icon for Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Геополітика·Китай

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

92% шанс
Polymarket

$587,268 Обс.

92% шанс
Polymarket

$587,268 Обс.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Official announcements following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing established a scheduled U.S. state visit for Xi Jinping in September 2026, including a confirmed date around September 24. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials stated preparations remain on track despite recent public tensions, with Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu expected to advance logistics. Both leaders have described 2026 as a reset year for bilateral diplomacy, trade coordination, and strategic stability talks. These verified steps, including reciprocal invitations and upcoming G20 and APEC hosting roles, underpin trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability for a visit before 2027. Late disruptions remain possible but appear limited given current momentum.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$587,268
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Official announcements following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing established a scheduled U.S. state visit for Xi Jinping in September 2026, including a confirmed date around September 24. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials stated preparations remain on track despite recent public tensions, with Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu expected to advance logistics. Both leaders have described 2026 as a reset year for bilateral diplomacy, trade coordination, and strategic stability talks. These verified steps, including reciprocal invitations and upcoming G20 and APEC hosting roles, underpin trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability for a visit before 2027. Late disruptions remain possible but appear limited given current momentum.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$587,268
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Часті запитання

«Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 92% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 92¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 92%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?» згенерував $587.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 13, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?» — 92% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 92% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.