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icon for Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

icon for Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

12% шанс
Polymarket

$167,137 Обс.

12% шанс
Polymarket

$167,137 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, followed by formal removal from his CMC and NPC posts in August 2026 amid Xi Jinping’s broader military anti-corruption drive. Official statements and PLA Daily commentary have cited corruption, political factionalism, and challenges to party leadership over the armed forces. Similar cases involving other senior officers, including former defense ministers, have progressed through investigation, expulsion, and prosecution over extended periods before any sentencing. With less than four months remaining until 2027 and no reported trial or verdict, the procedural timeline in China’s military justice system makes a prison sentence before the cutoff highly improbable according to current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$167,137
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, followed by formal removal from his CMC and NPC posts in August 2026 amid Xi Jinping’s broader military anti-corruption drive. Official statements and PLA Daily commentary have cited corruption, political factionalism, and challenges to party leadership over the armed forces. Similar cases involving other senior officers, including former defense ministers, have progressed through investigation, expulsion, and prosecution over extended periods before any sentencing. With less than four months remaining until 2027 and no reported trial or verdict, the procedural timeline in China’s military justice system makes a prison sentence before the cutoff highly improbable according to current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$167,137
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 12% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 12¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 12%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?» згенерував $167.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 28, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?» — 12% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 12% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.