Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by the Democratic Party of California's endorsement and superior cash on hand of over $2.5 million as of late March, reflecting his long tenure since 1998 in the D+17 leaning district. Challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded Democrat with $3.2 million raised and backing from progressive group Our Revolution, poses the main threat amid a crowded field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to advance given the partisan lean. No polls exist, but recent fundraising underscores the competitive Democratic matchup; ballots mail around May 4, with voter turnout and early voting key to securing the top two spots for November's general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$20,755 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
9%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Sharon Brown
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
3%
John Wesley Tyler
45%
$20,755 KL.
Mike Thompson
$6,502 KL.
99%
Eric Jones
$4,052 KL.
95%
Trevor Merrell
$6,288 KL.
15%
Heath Fulkerson
$252 KL.
9%
Mandy Ghusar
$728 KL.
6%
Sharon Brown
$1,605 KL.
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 KL.
3%
John Wesley Tyler
$618 KL.
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by the Democratic Party of California's endorsement and superior cash on hand of over $2.5 million as of late March, reflecting his long tenure since 1998 in the D+17 leaning district. Challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded Democrat with $3.2 million raised and backing from progressive group Our Revolution, poses the main threat amid a crowded field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to advance given the partisan lean. No polls exist, but recent fundraising underscores the competitive Democratic matchup; ballots mail around May 4, with voter turnout and early voting key to securing the top two spots for November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,755Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by the Democratic Party of California's endorsement and superior cash on hand of over $2.5 million as of late March, reflecting his long tenure since 1998 in the D+17 leaning district. Challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded Democrat with $3.2 million raised and backing from progressive group Our Revolution, poses the main threat amid a crowded field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to advance given the partisan lean. No polls exist, but recent fundraising underscores the competitive Democratic matchup; ballots mail around May 4, with voter turnout and early voting key to securing the top two spots for November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$20,755Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by the Democratic Party of California's endorsement and superior cash on hand of over $2.5 million as of late March, reflecting his long tenure since 1998 in the D+17 leaning district. Challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded Democrat with $3.2 million raised and backing from progressive group Our Revolution, poses the main threat amid a crowded field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to advance given the partisan lean. No polls exist, but recent fundraising underscores the competitive Democratic matchup; ballots mail around May 4, with voter turnout and early voting key to securing the top two spots for November's general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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