California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, features a top-two advancement system in a district with a strong Democratic lean covering Napa and Sonoma wine country plus Sacramento suburbs. Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998 and serving on the House Ways and Means Committee, faces challengers including fellow Democrat Eric Jones and several Republicans such as Ray Riehle. Early vote counts show Thompson in the lead, with Riehle and Jones competing for the second spot. Key influences include candidate endorsements, fundraising, turnout among Democratic voters, and the district's registration advantage favoring Democrats over Republicans. Official results will determine which two candidates advance to the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$41,283 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
98%
Sharon Brown
4%
Laurie MacKenzie
3%
John Wesley Tyler
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
Trevor Merrell
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
<1%
Eric Jones
39%
$41,283 KL.
Mike Thompson
$7,516 KL.
98%
Sharon Brown
$4,452 KL.
4%
Laurie MacKenzie
$841 KL.
3%
John Wesley Tyler
$1,903 KL.
1%
Mandy Ghusar
$3,238 KL.
1%
Trevor Merrell
$10,817 KL.
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
$1,718 KL.
<1%
Eric Jones
$10,972 KL.
39%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, features a top-two advancement system in a district with a strong Democratic lean covering Napa and Sonoma wine country plus Sacramento suburbs. Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998 and serving on the House Ways and Means Committee, faces challengers including fellow Democrat Eric Jones and several Republicans such as Ray Riehle. Early vote counts show Thompson in the lead, with Riehle and Jones competing for the second spot. Key influences include candidate endorsements, fundraising, turnout among Democratic voters, and the district's registration advantage favoring Democrats over Republicans. Official results will determine which two candidates advance to the November general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$41,283Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, features a top-two advancement system in a district with a strong Democratic lean covering Napa and Sonoma wine country plus Sacramento suburbs. Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998 and serving on the House Ways and Means Committee, faces challengers including fellow Democrat Eric Jones and several Republicans such as Ray Riehle. Early vote counts show Thompson in the lead, with Riehle and Jones competing for the second spot. Key influences include candidate endorsements, fundraising, turnout among Democratic voters, and the district's registration advantage favoring Democrats over Republicans. Official results will determine which two candidates advance to the November general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$41,283Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, features a top-two advancement system in a district with a strong Democratic lean covering Napa and Sonoma wine country plus Sacramento suburbs. Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998 and serving on the House Ways and Means Committee, faces challengers including fellow Democrat Eric Jones and several Republicans such as Ray Riehle. Early vote counts show Thompson in the lead, with Riehle and Jones competing for the second spot. Key influences include candidate endorsements, fundraising, turnout among Democratic voters, and the district's registration advantage favoring Democrats over Republicans. Official results will determine which two candidates advance to the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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