Mike Derry holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 14 Calgary-Shaw by-election as the United Conservative Party nominee, reflecting the riding’s consistent UCP support since its creation and the party’s 13-point margin in the 2023 general election. Derry secured the nomination in late June after defeating city councillor Dan McLean and has received endorsements from Premier Danielle Smith, who highlighted his local business and community background. Alberta NDP candidate Kyle Campbell, nominated around the same time with backing from leader Naheed Nenshi, trails in line with historical patterns for the opposition in southern Calgary. Minor candidates including Progressive Tory Kyle Joseph and Liberal leader John Roggeveen register limited support, with nominations closing August 27 and no major shifts reported in the short campaign period to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMike Derry 77%
John Roggeveen 20.1%
Kyle Campbell 16%
Kyle Joseph 7.7%
Mike Derry
77%
John Roggeveen
20%
Kyle Campbell
16%
Kyle Joseph
8%
Mike Derry 77%
John Roggeveen 20.1%
Kyle Campbell 16%
Kyle Joseph 7.7%
Mike Derry
77%
John Roggeveen
20%
Kyle Campbell
16%
Kyle Joseph
8%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mike Derry holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 14 Calgary-Shaw by-election as the United Conservative Party nominee, reflecting the riding’s consistent UCP support since its creation and the party’s 13-point margin in the 2023 general election. Derry secured the nomination in late June after defeating city councillor Dan McLean and has received endorsements from Premier Danielle Smith, who highlighted his local business and community background. Alberta NDP candidate Kyle Campbell, nominated around the same time with backing from leader Naheed Nenshi, trails in line with historical patterns for the opposition in southern Calgary. Minor candidates including Progressive Tory Kyle Joseph and Liberal leader John Roggeveen register limited support, with nominations closing August 27 and no major shifts reported in the short campaign period to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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