The near-certain trader consensus against an arrest of E. Jean Carroll by June 30 stems from standard federal investigative and charging timelines that rarely produce custody in under two weeks. Reports in late May 2026 indicated a possible DOJ perjury inquiry tied to outside funding disclosures in her civil cases against President Trump, yet the lead U.S. attorney promptly denied any such probe had opened. No public complaints, warrants, or indictments have surfaced in the intervening period, and the remaining window before month-end offers insufficient time for grand jury review, arrest authorization, or related procedural steps under typical Department of Justice practice. While late-breaking developments such as an expedited warrant could theoretically alter the outcome, the absence of confirmed charges or enforcement actions leaves the probability of custody before the deadline extremely low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2,782 KL.
$2,782 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$2,782 KL.
$2,782 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if E. Jean Carroll is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The near-certain trader consensus against an arrest of E. Jean Carroll by June 30 stems from standard federal investigative and charging timelines that rarely produce custody in under two weeks. Reports in late May 2026 indicated a possible DOJ perjury inquiry tied to outside funding disclosures in her civil cases against President Trump, yet the lead U.S. attorney promptly denied any such probe had opened. No public complaints, warrants, or indictments have surfaced in the intervening period, and the remaining window before month-end offers insufficient time for grand jury review, arrest authorization, or related procedural steps under typical Department of Justice practice. While late-breaking developments such as an expedited warrant could theoretically alter the outcome, the absence of confirmed charges or enforcement actions leaves the probability of custody before the deadline extremely low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if E. Jean Carroll is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 28, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,782Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if E. Jean Carroll is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The near-certain trader consensus against an arrest of E. Jean Carroll by June 30 stems from standard federal investigative and charging timelines that rarely produce custody in under two weeks. Reports in late May 2026 indicated a possible DOJ perjury inquiry tied to outside funding disclosures in her civil cases against President Trump, yet the lead U.S. attorney promptly denied any such probe had opened. No public complaints, warrants, or indictments have surfaced in the intervening period, and the remaining window before month-end offers insufficient time for grand jury review, arrest authorization, or related procedural steps under typical Department of Justice practice. While late-breaking developments such as an expedited warrant could theoretically alter the outcome, the absence of confirmed charges or enforcement actions leaves the probability of custody before the deadline extremely low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if E. Jean Carroll is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,782Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The near-certain trader consensus against an arrest of E. Jean Carroll by June 30 stems from standard federal investigative and charging timelines that rarely produce custody in under two weeks. Reports in late May 2026 indicated a possible DOJ perjury inquiry tied to outside funding disclosures in her civil cases against President Trump, yet the lead U.S. attorney promptly denied any such probe had opened. No public complaints, warrants, or indictments have surfaced in the intervening period, and the remaining window before month-end offers insufficient time for grand jury review, arrest authorization, or related procedural steps under typical Department of Justice practice. While late-breaking developments such as an expedited warrant could theoretically alter the outcome, the absence of confirmed charges or enforcement actions leaves the probability of custody before the deadline extremely low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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